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Kofi Adu Domfeh: Is a new world disorder of climate change emerging?

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Kwaku works with a tight calendar; making a routine business trip every week between Kumasi and Accra, the kind professionals make without a second thought.

On this typical Tuesday, he takes an early morning flight from Kumasi for meetings in Accra, with an evening return flight to Kumasi for another early-morning engagement the next day that could unlock a significant business deal.

By mid-morning upon arriving in Accra, the sun blazed with unusual intensity, draining energy from anyone forced to move between appointments.

Kofi Adu Domfeh
Kofi Adu Domfeh

Kwaku dashed from one office to another as the sun burnt hot and harsh, but stayed focused on finishing his work to catch his evening flight back to Kumasi.

But without a warning, the clouds gathered. What had been scorching skies just hours earlier began to darken as clouds gathered fast and thick, rolling in with surprising speed. Within minutes, the atmosphere flipped from heatwave to storm warning.

Then came the rain; a torrential downpour. By the time Kwaku reached the airport, the announcement board read flight delayed. Then what he feared hit him; his flight cancelled.

The same skies that had scorched him hours earlier had now grounded him completely.

Despite his careful planning, he could not return to Kumasi that evening, missing a scheduled meeting for the following day.

In just one day, Kwaku experienced two extremes – intense heat and a disruptive storm – both powerful enough to alter personal and professional outcomes.

What once felt like isolated weather incidents now seem connected, part of a broader pattern of climate volatility that was becoming harder to ignore.

Climate change is no longer an abstract headline or distant environmental debate; it is operational risk, an economic loss and human disruption happening in real time.

UN Climate chief calls for new era of climate action

On Thursday February 12, 2026, the UN Climate Change Executive Secretary, Simon Stiell, addressed a press conference hosted by the COP31 President Designate, Minister Murat Kurum in Istanbul, Türkiye, where he stated that climate action can deliver stability in an unstable world of arms and trade wars.

“We find ourselves in a new world disorder. This is a period of instability and insecurity. Of strong arms and trade wars. The very concept of international cooperation is under attack. These challenges are real and serious.

“Climate action can deliver stability in an unstable world of arms and trade wars. In the face of the current chaos, we can, and must, drive forward a new era of international climate cooperation,” he said.

The UN Climate Change’s plan for a new era of climate action was divided into three eras: first was to uncover the problem and respond; and the second was to get serious about solutions in building the Paris Agreement.

Stiell acknowledged the Agreement did not solve the climate crisis but showed that nations can deliver change on a major scale when they stand together.

“In the decade since Paris, clean energy investment is up tenfold – from two hundred billion dollars to over two trillion dollars a year. And, in 2025, amidst all the economic uncertainty and gale-force political headwinds, the global transition kept surging forward: clean energy investment kept growing strongly and was more than double that of fossil fuels.

“Renewables overtook coal as the world’s top electricity source. The majority of countries produced new national climate plans that will help drive their economic growth up and – for the first time – global emissions down. And, at COP30, nations said with one voice: the global transition is now irreversible, the Paris Agreement is working, and together we will make it go further and faster,” he emphasised.

Trump challenges climate science

While the UN Climate chief is strongly advocating climate adaptation for resilience building, US President Donald Trump has continued his attack on climate science by revoking a landmark ruling that greenhouse gases endanger public health

The key Obama-era scientific ruling in 2009 underpins all US federal actions on curbing planet-warming gases.

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) decided that key planet-warming greenhouse gases, including carbon dioxide and methane, were a danger to human health.

But the reversal, according to the White House, is necessitated by the drive to make cars cheaper with an expected ease in the cost of production.

“This radical rule became the legal foundation for the Green New Scam, one of the greatest scams in history,” said President Trump, who has snubbed the Paris Agreement on Climate Change twice.

The exit of US from the Paris Agreement means that America will no longer be bound by the agreement’s requirements, such as submitting plans to reduce carbon emissions.

As the world’s second-largest greenhouse gas emitter behind only China, environmental groups say the latest move by the US is by far the most significant rollback on climate change, amidst skepticism of the potential cost savings being touted by the Trump administration.

The Third Era of Climate Action

The UN Climate Chief has observed an unprecedented threat to the decade of international climate cooperation that has delivered more real-world progress.

“From those determined to use their power to defy economic and scientific logic, and increase dependence on polluting coal, oil and gas – even though that means worsening climate disasters and spiralling costs for households and businesses. These forces are undeniably strong, but they need not prevail,” stated Stiell.

His solution to the chaos and regression is for countries to stand together, building on successes and working more closely with businesses, investors, and regional and civic leaders to deliver more real-world results in every country.

This is the third era of climate action; an era to speed-up and scale-up implementation of actions.

“It must start with a relentless focus on delivering – or even exceeding – the targets agreed in the first global stocktake, in 2023. Doubling energy efficiency and tripling clean energy by 2030. Transitioning away from all fossil fuels, in a just, fair and orderly manner. Strengthening resilience and reducing vulnerability, and ensuring more climate finance reaches people everywhere, especially the most vulnerable,” said Stiell.

The expectation is for countries to be on track to meet the commitments by the second global stocktake in 2028, in boosting resilience, growing economies, and slashing emissions.

“The fact is climate adaptation is the only path to securing billions of human lives, as climate impacts get rapidly worse,” said Mr. Stiell. “As climate disasters hit food supplies and drive inflation, resilient supply chains are crucial for the price stability populations are demanding.  And they are increasingly unforgiving of governments who don’t deliver it.

“So more than ever, climate action and cooperation are the answer: not despite global instability, but because of it. There is a huge amount of work before us, this year and in the years to come.”

As vulnerable people and communities in Africa are already suffering the extremes of weather conditions, the UN conference of parties (COP31) in Antalya is expected to deliver for people, prosperity and planet.

For professionals like Kwaku, what used to be a routine of moving between two cities for work has suddenly felt uncertain; the weather is no longer background noise, it is deciding outcomes.

Amidst the reality of climate science and the challenge to the impact of the science, what would a new world disorder of climate change mean for people like Kwaku?

Kofi Adu Domfeh is a journalist and Climate Reality Leader| adomfeh@gmail.com

Ozone layer depletion: Nigeria prioritises green, energy-efficient cooling systems

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The Federal Government is actively taking steps to address ozone layer depletion by prioritising the adoption of green, energy-efficient, and low-Global Warming Potential (GWP) cooling systems.

Malam Balarabe Lawal, the Minister of Environment made this known in Abuja on Tuesday at a two-day Capacity Building Workshop on Green Procurement for Sustainable Cooling Systems in Nigeria.

Lawal, who was represented by Mr. Idris Abdullahi, the Director of National Ozone Office said that green procurement is the purchase of products and services that have a reduced environmental impact throughout their life cycle compared to conventional alternatives.

Balarabe Lawal
Malam Balarabe Lawal, the Minister of Environment

“Cooling is no longer a luxury. It is a critical enabler of productivity, public health, food security, and economic growth.From hospitals and laboratories to offices, schools, and food preservation systems, cooling underpins essential services.

“Today, refrigeration and air-conditioning systems account for between 40 and 60 per cent of electricity consumption in many buildings.

“Unfortunately, much of this demand is still met with inefficient equipment that consumes excessive power and uses refrigerants that contribute to ozone depletion and climate change,.

“The Sustainable Research and Action for Environmental Development SRADev Nigeria in partnership with the National Ozone Office of the Federal Ministry of Environment is to Promote Fast Action to Reduce Emissions of Fluorinated Greenhouse Gases (F-Gases) and Ozone depleting Substances (ODS) in Nigeria.”

The minister said that many developing countries are currently navigating a crucial transition away from ozone-depleted substances, foliates and fluorinated greenhouse gases, essential towards sustainable climate-friendly alternatives in its refrigeration and air-conditioning sector.

“The Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol provides a global framework to reduce the use of hydrofluorocarbons, offering both environmental and economic benefits.

“The Montreal Protocol, ratified by Nigeria, remains the world’s most successful environmental treaty,” Lawal said.

“Implementing this commitment requires not only policy reforms but also utilisation of green procurement principles into public sector decision making,” he said.

Lawal said that green procurement refers to the process through which public authorities integrate environmental conservation into their purchasing decisions.

“So therefore, it is a very powerful tool contributing to the country’s energy conservation, environmental protection, international climate agreements like the National Energy Determined Contribution,” he said.

Mr. Tom Nickson, a representative from the Environmental Investigative Agency (EIA) UK, said that the choices that governments around the world make to support the adoption of sustainable cooling technologies is going to help shape their environmental legacy for decades to come.

“Sustainable cooling is a cornerstone for climate action, and public procurement holds immense power to drive the transitions towards climate-friendly, energy-efficient cooling solutions.

“By prioritising green procurement, we can reduce energy consumption, cut greenhouse gas emissions, and set a powerful example for markets and communities around the world,” Nickson explained.

Dr Leslie Adogame, Executive-Director of SRADev Nigeria, said that it was pertinent to build strong national awareness and capacity for green procurement among national policy actors.

He added that it was also necessary to explore opportunities for policy reforms, and support integration of sustainable cooling systems into climate action strategies in Nigeria.

Mr. Gerald Njume, the Regional Principal Climate Change and Green Growth Officer African Development Bank, stated that it is very important that the bank is key in terms of supporting Nigeria in this drive.

Mr. Yusuf Kilani, the Special Adviser to the President on Climate Matters, said that the workshop came at the right time, adding that also from the Office of the President, are efforts to achieve zero environmental sustainability in all sectors.

By Abigael Joshua

Green Energy, Lekoil clarify position on ongoing court, arbitration dispute

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Green Energy International Limited and Lekoil Nigeria Limited have clarified their position regarding recent media reports on a court matter stemming from a commercial dispute with a service provider, stating that the issue is already subject to arbitration in line with contractual agreements between the parties.

In a joint statement issued on Tuesday, February 17, 2026, both companies said the dispute relates to a contractual claim currently undergoing resolution through arbitration, as provided for under the terms of their agreement with the service provider.

Lekoil Nigeria Limited
Lekoil Nigeria Limited

They explained that the sums referenced in certain media reports remain unliquidated and are still under review and audit pursuant to the contractual arrangements between the parties. As such, the companies noted that the amounts being reported are subject to determination by an arbitral tribunal.

According to the statement, prior to the interim court application reported in the media, both companies had already commenced proceedings before the Federal High Court in Suit No. FHC/L/CS/225/26. The filing included an application for an anti-suit injunction aimed at safeguarding the agreed arbitration process.

The companies disclosed that the processes were duly filed and served on the service provider, H-PTP, before the subsequent court proceedings referenced in media publications.

Green Energy and Lekoil Nigeria stressed that the matter is currently under active judicial and arbitral consideration, making it inappropriate to provide further comments at this stage.

Despite the ongoing dispute, the companies reassured stakeholders that their operations remain unaffected.

“Both Green Energy and Lekoil Nigeria continue to operate their assets safely and in full compliance with applicable regulatory and contractual obligations. There has been no disruption to operations,” the statement said.

They further affirmed their commitment to pursuing their rights through the appropriate legal and arbitral channels, adding that they reserve the right to take action against any inaccurate or defamatory statements published in connection with the dispute.

The development comes amid heightened scrutiny within the oil and gas sector over contractual disputes and enforcement of arbitration clauses, with industry observers closely watching how courts balance ongoing arbitration proceedings with parallel judicial applications.

However, with both judicial and arbitral processes now underway, the final resolution of the matter will depend on the outcomes of the respective legal proceedings.

Dangote signs $400m equipment deal to fast-track refinery expansion

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Dangote Group has signed a $400 million construction equipment agreement with XCMG Construction Machinery Co., Ltd., one of China’s leading manufacturers of construction machinery, in a move set to accelerate the expansion of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals from 650,000 barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day, positioning it to become the largest refinery in the world.

The agreement will enable the Group to acquire additional wide range of advanced construction equipment to support ongoing and forthcoming projects across refining, petrochemicals, agriculture and large-scale infrastructure development. The new equipment will complement existing assets deployed for the refinery expansion, which is expected to be completed within three years.

Dangote Refinery gate
Dangote Refinery gate

Beyond refining, the expansion programme will see polypropylene production increase from 900,000 metric tonnes per annum to 2.4 million metric tonnes per annum. Urea capacity in Nigeria will be tripled from 3 million to 9 million metric tonnes per annum, in addition to the 3 million metric tonnes per annum capacity in Ethiopia, strengthening the Group’s position as the largest urea producer globally.

Production capacity for Linear Alkyl Benzene (LAB) will also be increased to 400,000 metric tonnes per annum, positioning the Group as the largest producer in Africa and strengthening supply to the detergent and cleaning agents manufacturing industry. Additional base oil production capacity also forms part of the broader expansion programme.

In a statement, the Group described the agreement as a strategic investment aimed at deepening its construction footprint and accelerating its ambition to build a $100 billion enterprise by 2030.

“The additional equipment we are acquiring under this partnership will significantly enhance execution across our projects. With this investment, we are positioning ourselves to become the number one construction company in the world,” the statement said.

Dangote Group is currently accelerating expansion and regional market development as it advances toward its long-term vision of building a $100 billion enterprise by 2030.

NUPRC warns public against fraudulent contract offers

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The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) has warned the public against activities of fraudulent individuals who peddle contract offers purportedly on its behalf.

A statement on Monday, February 16, 2026, by Eniola Akinkuotu, Head, Corporate Communication and Media, NUPRC, said these unscrupulous individuals used tactics such as name-dropping and misinformation on social media to deceive members of the public.

According to Akinkuotu, they do so with the sole intention of extorting money from them and are hereby warned to desist from such acts.

Oritsemeyiwa Amanorisewo Eyesan
Mrs. Oritsemeyiwa Amanorisewo Eyesan, the Commission’s Chief Executive, NUPRC

To set the record straight, he said, all contract being processed at the NUPRC were done transparently and strictly in line with the Public Procurement Act, 2007 and other extant regulations.

“Therefore, anyone who transacts with a third party in order to gain an imaginary undue advantage within the NUPRC does so solely at their own risk.

“For information on any procurement, visit the NUPRC website – www.nuprc.gov.ng – or local newspapers for tenders to bid,” he warned.

Alleged $25.5m debt: Court orders interim administration for Green Energy, Lekoil

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A Federal High Court in Lagos has ordered an interim administration for Green Energy International Ltd. and Lekoil Oil and Gas Investments Ltd. following their alleged failure to pay $25.5 million debt.

Justice Ambrose Allagoa also appointed Mr. Chimezie Ihekweazu (SAN), an accredited insolvency practitioner, as the interim administrator for both companies throughout the interim administration.

The judge ordered that Ihekweazu should do all functions of an administrator, except distribution of the assets of the respondents.

Lekan Akinyanmi
Chief Executive Officer of Lekoil, Lekan Akinyanmi

The judge ordered that the interim administration would continue until the determination of a substantive suit on the matter.

Allagoa also granted an order directing all banks and financial institutions regulated by the Central Bank of Nigeria to ensure that the accounts of the respondents would be controlled by the administrator or his nominee.

He made the orders following an ex-parte application filed by H-PTP Energy Services Ltd. seeking restraining, mareva and injunctive orders against Green Energy and Lekoil.

The applicant averred in the ex-parte application that it sought the reliefs following alleged failure by the respondents to honour $25.5 million debt obligation.

H-PTL Energy Services Ltd stated that Green Energy and Lekoil were indebted to it to the tune of 25.5 million dollars as Joint venture partners in Okatikpa Field, under Petroleum Mining Lease 11 located at Andoni, Rivers.

According to H-PTL Energy Services Ltd., the respondents have been indebted to it since mid 2025 and have been unable to liquidate the debt in spite of acknowledging the debt in writing.

H-PTP stated that in spite of demands and notices it made, the debt had remained unpaid and both respondents had become evasive and were attempting to dispute the already-agreed debt.

It stated that it attached all bank accounts, receivables and stock of crude oil belonging to, and produced from the two creditors of Okatikpa field to the application.

Allagoa adjourned the case until Feb. 26, for hearing of the substantive motion.

By Sandra Umeh

Religious leaders, media executives seek ethical AI framework

Religious leaders have called for an inclusive and value-driven framework to regulate Artificial Intelligence (AI) development and deployment in Nigeria.

They made the call during a media training organised by the Nigeria Religious Coalition on Artificial Intelligence (NRC-AI) for journalists on Monday, February 16, 2026, in Lagos.

Rt. Rev. Dr Evans Onyemara, the General Secretary, Christian Council of Nigeria (CCN), said the council had partnered with the Future of Life Institute to build AI awareness among religious leaders.

AI and Religion
Participants at the media training organised by the Nigeria Religious Coalition on Artificial Intelligence (NRC-AI) for journalists

Onyemara said CCN was working with Jama’atu Nasril Islam to ensure interfaith collaboration on AI governance.

He urged government to include faith-based organisations and civil society groups in AI policy formulation and implementation.

The Director of CCN, Very Rev. Kolade Fadahunsi, said the coalition supports AI policies rooted in justice, compassion, accountability and human dignity.

Fadahunsi warned against unregulated AI systems that could erode indigenous values and weaken analytical thinking among youths.

He noted that while AI could improve healthcare, education, agriculture and security, safeguards were necessary to prevent misuse.

A civil society partner, Mr. Philip Jakpor, described the media as indispensable in promoting ethical AI adoption.

Jakpor said AI deployment in Nigeria must respect religious beliefs, cultural norms and national identity.

According to him, while the US and China are currently investing billions in AI creation, adoption and deployment, Africa is still missing in the race largely due to limited infrastructure, low local data representation, and high implementation costs.

“African media is also constrained by entrenched skepticism regarding data biases and potential job losses,” he stated, lamenting that the Nigerian media, which is supposed to be a watchdog by amplifying the need for active engagement to ensure ethical development and application, is largely in the dark with many journalists ignorantly regurgitating ideals that are extraneous to religion as well as Africa’s cultural norms and values.

Jakpor, who is also a journalist, urged the media to serve as a platform for debate and exchange of ideas, in fostering a more informed and engaged public on AI.

His words: “The media must equally showcase positive examples of AI and highlight the ethical drawbacks identified above to encourage the government to take meaningful steps toward addressing them. The media must also report scientific findings on AI and encourage action that will not make Nigerians mere consumers of AI ideas birthed in the west, but also co-creators of AI tools and information.”

Veteran journalist, Tope Oluwaleye, in a presentation, explores issues related to how AI influences religious practices, virtual services (AI-powered platforms host online worship, prayers or sermons), personalised guidance, scripture analysis (AI tools helping to interpret or translate religious texts), and community engagement (AI-driven apps connecting believers and facilitate discussions).

He listed accuracy, accountability and inclusiveness as key principles to help journalists to produce stories that are both informative and respectful of the diverse ways people experience faith.

Programmes Officer, CCN, Ms. Nkechi Oseni, who read the position of the coalition, stressed the need for moral leadership in shaping Nigeria’s AI governance.

Oseni said the coalition supports Pillar Four of Nigeria’s 2024 AI Strategy, which focuses on ethical inclusion and public trust.

She called for an independent AI Ethics Expert Group to provide objective oversight on AI development and deployment.

According to her, clear ethical principles must address fairness, transparency, accountability, privacy and human well-being.

She also advocated standardised assessment mechanisms to ensure AI projects align with Nigeria’s cultural and religious values.

The coalition emphasised that responsible AI development must align with Nigeria’s constitutional values and protect future generations.

AU Summit: African leaders urge final 24 states to ratify African Medicines Agency treaty

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On the margins of the 39th Ordinary Session of the Assembly of Heads of State and Government of the African Union (AU), the African Medicines Agency (AMA) convened a High‑Level Presidential Breakfast on the Operationalisation of the AMA, calling on the 24 AU Member States yet to ratify the AMA Treaty to act without delay in support of a safer, more prosperous future for the continent.

Convened by the AMA, the breakfast brought together Heads of State and Government, AU leadership, and senior representatives of the AMA, Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC), and the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) Secretariat to accelerate the Agency’s full operationalisation, universal ratification, and sustainable financing.

Amma Twum‑Amoah
Amb. Amma Twum‑Amoah, Commissioner for Health, Humanitarian Affairs and Social Development of the African Union Commission

Leaders underscored the AMA’s role in strengthening continental regulation of medical products, bolstering health security, and supporting Africa’s industrialisation ambitions. While progress has been made in establishing the Agency and operationalising its headquarters in Kigali, only 31 of the AU’s 55 Member States have ratified the AMA Treaty, and several still need to complete domestication measures – leaving gaps in protection against substandard and falsified medical products and limiting the benefits of a unified African regulatory system.

Several government leaders, Ministers of Health and representatives of AU agencies reiterated their commitment to the operationalisation of the AMA. Mr. Sebastien Pillay, Vice President of Seychelles reaffirmed his country’s political support and financial commitment of $200,000, doubling the seed fund contribution of $100,000 required of state parties, while urging larger nations to match this dedication. 

Dr. Mustapha Ferjani, Minister of Health of Tunisia, reinforced the foundational importance of regulation, highlighting that “today, a single truth imposes itself: Africa’s health sovereignty depends on regulatory sovereignty.” In his closing appeal, he added: “Let us all ratify, and equip AMA with the capacity to act – with resources, skills, clear procedures, and effective governance. Our people deserve it, our health security demands it, and our sovereignty depends on it.” 

Presenting on priority actions for the AMA, Dr. Delese Mimi Darko, Director General of the AMA, updated leaders on the AMA’s ambition to be universally ratified, achieve WHO Listed Authority status and be financially self-reliant by 2030.

She stressed that “over the past five years, we have moved from a Treaty on paper to a living institution” and that the AMA is “already working hand‑in‑hand with Member States that have ratified to strengthen regulatory systems, streamline joint assessments and increase reliance on shared expertise.”

In her closing remarks, Amb. Amma Twum‑Amoah, Commissioner for Health, Humanitarian Affairs and Social Development of the African Union Commission, framed the AMA as central to the AU’s wider health and development agenda. She affirmed that the Commission “firmly believes that universal ratification, full implementation and sustainable financing of the African Medicines Agency are achievable within this political cycle,” describing the AMA as “a shared continental asset integral to delivering on the African Health Strategy 2030 and Agenda 2063, and the commitments our Member States have made to protect the health and wellbeing of their people.”

The 39th AU Assembly thus served as a defining moment to move decisively toward a unified African medicines regulatory system that delivers quality medical products for all, advances regional industrialisation and trade, and contributes to a safer, more prosperous future for every African.

The AMA Treaty was adopted by Heads of States and Government during their 32nd Ordinary Session of the Assembly on February 11, 2019, in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. The African Medicines Agency aspires to enhance capacity of State Parties and AU recognized Regional Economic Communities (RECs) to regulate medical products in order to improve access to quality, safe and efficacious medical products on the continent.

New study identifies sequence of critical thresholds for Antarctic ice basins

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The Antarctic ice sheet does not behave as one single tipping element, but as a set of interacting basins with different critical thresholds.

This is the finding of a new study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and the Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology (MPI-GEA).

With today’s warming, about 40 percent of the ice stored in West Antarctica may already be committed to long-term loss, while parts of East Antarctica could cross thresholds at moderate levels of warming between 2 to 3°C compared to pre-industrial levels, contributing significantly to global long-term sea-level rise.

Melting Antarctic ice
Melting Antarctic ice

“It’s not one single threshold we need to watch in Antarctica – it’s a sequence,” explains Ricarda Winkelmann, MPI-GEA director, PIK scientist and lead author of the study published in Nature Climate Change. “In fact, we find that ice loss in some Antarctic basins unfolds gradually with warming, whereas other basins are characterised by a tipping point, beyond which the loss of ice accelerates disproportionally to the warming and can be irreversible over centuries to millennia.” 

Some regions like the Amundsen Sea basin including the Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers, and the Ronne basin in West Antarctica have the lowest thresholds, and might already be past their tipping points at today’s roughly 1.3°C of global warming.

“Crossing a tipping point doesn’t mean immediate collapse,” Winkelmann notes. “Large-scale ice loss in these regions unfolds over centuries, but the process may already have been set in motion in parts of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet.”

Julius Garbe, PIK scientist and co-author of the study, adds: “And it’s not just West Antarctica: in East Antarctica, the ice mass is large enough to contribute ten times more to sea-level rise than its western counterpart. Massive regions like the Wilkes Basin are also increasingly at risk of substantial ice loss with sustained warming of 2 to 5 °C above pre-industrial levels.”

Simulating 18 basins reveals interacting and cascading risks

The Antarctic Ice Sheet is the largest concentration of ice on Earth, containing enough ice to raise global sea levels by more than 58 metres if melted entirely. In the study, MPI-GEA and PIK researchers analyse the distinct nature and risk of potential long-term ice loss for 18 individual Antarctic drainage basins, at different levels of global warming.

The researchers ran simulations with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM), incrementally increasing the global mean temperature and mapping the long-term response of each basin. The study highlights that the draining basins interact, meaning that ice loss in one region can lead to cascading feedbacks in connected basins.

“The Antarctic ice sheet took millions of years to form, but with global emissions continuously rising, we may lock it onto a path of long-term loss within the coming decades,” states Torsten Albrecht, MPI-GEA and PIK scientist and co-author of the study. 

Ricarda Winkelmann, just returning from several weeks of fieldwork in Antarctica, adds: “Seeing how rapidly some regions in Antarctica are already responding to anthropogenic climate change, how extreme weather events are not only becoming more frequent but lead to subsequent changes in the ice dynamics, really puts into perspective the vulnerability of this vast ice sheet.

“Our mapping of potential regional tipping points shows where the greatest risks lie on the long term, and which regions of the Antarctic Ice Sheet need closest monitoring. Cutting greenhouse gas emissions rapidly is imperative to prevent further destabilisation of ice basins.”

Segun Adediran: Watchdog and the death row metaphor

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The architecture of death row is not built of stone and steel, but of stagnant time. To be on
death row is to live in the “After” – dead, yet living. You are a ghost inhabiting a body that the
state has already marked as a tragic clerical error.

It is the only place on Earth where the future is not a mystery, but a fixed point on a calendar: a Tuesday at dawn, a Thursday at midnight, creeping toward you with the silent, rhythmic inevitability of a tide.

On the row, the world shrinks to the size of a postage stamp. It is never truly silent, but the noise is dead. It is a paradox of hope – a matter of “just in case” The cruelty of the row isn’t just the isolation; it is the litigation of hope.

Segun Adediran
Segun Adediran

Globally, journalism, society’s watchdog, is on death row: a case of hoping against hope. As the
predatory rise of Generative AI (GAI) and Big Tech intensifies, newsrooms are navigating the
architecture of “Media Death Row”. Through hyper-personalised, AI-driven silos, GAI firms have built a multi-billion-dollar industry on a foundation of mass copyright infringement. They treat the life’s work of journalists as raw material – scraped without permission, processed without payment and condemned to death without trial. This is unfair!

Damning data shows that the clock is ticking! In 2025, the global media industry faced a
“structural collapse” as Big Tech pivoted from a referral-based web to a consumption-based
“buffet” Digital advertising shift; declining print traffic and AI disruption are the executioners.

The most staggering loss was the evaporation of digital foot traffic. News publishers saw their
share of Google Search referrals plummet from 51% in 2023 to just 27% by the end of 2025 – a direct result of “zero-click” AI Overviews that satisfy user queries without passing on the click.

While the total global advertising pie expanded to $1.14 trillion, the spoils were increasingly
sequestered. Alphabet (Google) alone crossed the $100 billion quarterly revenue threshold in
Q3 2025. Meanwhile, premium publishers reported organic traffic declines of up to 25%. The
numbers for 2026 are even gloomier.

This year, global search referrals to publishers have collapsed by an additional 33%. Like the
indifferent light of a cell block, GAI summaries satisfy queries without a single click. “Zero-click” searches now sit at 69%, leaving publishers to starve in the shadows. This shift has effectively transformed the open web into a training set for GAI, forcing trusted media to survive on “crumbs” – relying on licensing deals and niche subscriptions.

For the mainstream press, the loss was colossal in terms of readership and ad revenue. An
estimated $2.3 billion in annual global ad revenue has sadly been diverted from those who
report the news to those who merely summarise it.

For instance, in the first half of the 2025/2026 cycle alone, the industry saw catastrophic job cuts linked directly to this AI-driven traffic collapse. The Washington Post announced roughly 300 job cuts (about 30% of staff), shuttering its sports desk, and shrinking other departments due to reported losses of $100 million in 2024 and falling subscriptions.

It appears a total eclipse is dangerously on the horizon. GAI “Answer Engines” have
transformed from bridges into walls. Reports show that while Google Search used to send a visitor for every 14 times it crawled a site, AI firms are now scraping sites 13 million times (yes, you heard me right), while delivering as few as 650 visits.

Even at that, industry experts still predict an additional 43% decline in search traffic over the
next three years, the window for action is closing rapidly. And the hangman’s noose is getting
nearer.

This is not just a threat to publishers; it is a suicide pact for the AI industry. If we allow GAI to
bankrupt the people who produce original, verified journalism, the AI will eventually have
nothing to “eat” but its own digital rubbish and waste. Every layoff in a newsroom represents a
“last”: the last investigative report, the last local court reporter, the last check on power, the last editorial board member.

Gladly, some countries are pushing back, loosening the hangman’s noose on their press. Not
because they so much love the press, but because they subscribed to the statement of Thomas
Jefferson (1743-1826) that: “Were it left to me to decide whether we should have a government without newspapers or newspapers without a government, I should not hesitate a moment to prefer the latter”.

From the EU’s AI Act to Australia’s News Media Bargaining Code and South Africa’s
compensation deal – the world is waking up. These are not merely regulations; they are
emergency interventions designed to stop Big Tech from cannibalising the ecosystem that
sustains it and protects the values of freedom and democracy that keep humanity sane and
humane.

But on death row, there is a brutal “litigation of hope” For newsrooms, that hope is the belief
that high-quality journalism still matters. We don’t need more “wait and see” approaches; we
demand economic justice. Litigation alone is insufficient; the New York Times disclosed
spending a colossal $10.8 million in 2024 on GAI-related legal expenses, but that is a drop in
the bucket for the “filthy rich” tech and AI firms.

The argument is simple: as the Nigerian government is obligated to protect citizens against fake drugs through NAFDAC, the Tinubu administration is equally obligated to protect Nigeria, its democracy, and citizens’ rights against Big Tech and AI’s insidious practices.

This is not the time to sit on the fence. Pastor Martin Niemöller’s famous warning about silence
in the face of tyranny rings true here. If we do not speak for the journalists today, there will be
no one left to verify the truth tomorrow.

Trusted news media need governments and intellectual property offices worldwide to decisively
enforce digital fairness and the digital border. Without urgent intervention – transparency
mandates, the right to opt-out of scraping without losing search visibility, and fair compensation – the “Death Row” of journalism will reach its final Tuesday at dawn. When the
last trusted newsroom goes dark, GAI will have plenty to say, but nothing true to talk about.
All told, governments should stand for fair and sustainable journalism. Big Tech and GAI should
be a tool to support human-led journalism, but not a replacement for it.

Adediran, the CEO of the Newspaper Proprietors’ Association of Nigeria (NPAN), writes via olusegunadediran@gmail.com